Welbeck’s Sturridge comparison makes eight Arsenal league goals look a formality

Danny Welbeck’s best ever Premier League goal tally is nine, which he twice managed with Man Utd

The general opinion of Danny Welbeck is that he is a talented footballer, who is hard working, strong at holding the ball up and has decent pace. However, his finishing leaves a little to be desired. A best record of nine goals in a Premier League season goes some way towards backing this up, which is a tally that he managed in both the 2011/12 campaign and again last season. But he started no more than 23 games in either of these seasons and there is a strong possibility that he will improve upon this figure at Arsenal, where he should finally get a regular run in his best position leading the line. 

Welbeck was often fielded in a wider role at Manchester United and his development is not too dissimilar to that of Daniel Sturridge, who has stepped up at Liverpool now that he is a first-team regular in his preferred position. Emulating Sturridge for goals may be a bridge too far for Welbeck, but Bwin are being far too generous by offering 17/20 that he nets at least eight Premier League goals in his debut Arsenal season

Assuming he stays fit, this looks like free money, especially with Olivier Giroud unlikely to feature again for the Gunners in 2014. Another interesting offering for Welbeck is the Premier League top scorer market, where he can be backed 100/1 with Betway, who are also offering each-way terms on the top four. 

To add some context, this is a bigger price than Rickie Lambert (66/1) and Enner Valencia (80/1). What’s also attention-grabbing is that Arsenal teammate Aaron Ramsey is 25/1 to be the top flight’s top scorer. This effectively means that punters are getting the same price on Ramsey topping the scoring charts and Welbeck finishing in the top four. Surely the latter has to be considered the more likely?

Recommended bets

  • Danny Welbeck to score at least eight goals this season at 17/20 with Bwin
  • Danny Welbeck to be top Premier League scorer at 100/1 (each-way 1/4, 1-4) with Betway

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